CAIC Begins Daily Forecasts

Avalanche Forecasts Begin for 2024-25 Season: Moderate Danger in Colorado Mountains

DENVER, COLORADO — The Colorado Avalanche Information Center (CAIC) has launched its daily avalanche forecasts for the 2024-2025 winter season, with the first forecast posted on October 31. CAIC’s initial report notes a Moderate avalanche danger rating (Level 2 of 5) in specific regions, with hazardous conditions identified in the West Elk Mountains and the Southern San Juan Mountains. Backcountry travelers are encouraged to stay vigilant, particularly on wind-drifted, steep north and east-facing slopes above treeline.

The center’s first forecast of the season, available on colorado.gov/avalanche, warns of potentially unstable conditions due to wind-drifted snow on these higher, leeward slopes. These conditions have already led to 15 reported avalanches over the past three days, all occurring on wind-drifted terrain features. A notable example was observed near Marble, Colorado, where a small wind slab avalanche triggered on a northeast-facing slope at 11,600 feet, underscoring the inherent risks in specific high-elevation locations.

The West Elk Mountains have moderate risk levels, with avalanches possible on wind-loaded slopes, particularly above treeline. In this area, wind-drifted snow presents a notable hazard, often appearing as rounded or wave-like surfaces. Backcountry enthusiasts are advised to recognize these telltale signs and exercise caution, as small avalanches can still lead to significant danger, especially in consequential terrain.

Preview of the Complete Colorado 14ers Planner spreadsheet showing all 58 peaks with route details, difficulty, mileage, and prep information

Free: Complete Colorado 14ers Planner

Every peak. Every trailhead. Every detail: in one spreadsheet.

  • All 58 peaks ranked beginner to expert
  • Safety notes and seasonal windows for each
  • Route difficulty, mileage, and prep tips
Get the Free Planner

Similarly, the Southern San Juan Mountains carry a moderate danger rating. CAIC warns of stiff wind slabs forming on east and north-facing leeward slopes near ridgelines, with slabs of transported snow posing a high risk of triggering avalanches. Cross-loaded terrain features are also flagged as particularly hazardous, with safe options more accessible in sheltered, lower-elevation zones where snowpack stability is higher.

For backcountry adventurers, early-season conditions may offer limited but critical reminders of avalanche hazards and the importance of route selection. CAIC’s daily updates provide essential insights for those exploring Colorado’s backcountry, where small slides can quickly escalate in steep terrain.

Safety Tips for Avalanche Preparedness

  1. Identify wind-drifted terrain: Look for wave-like patterns and cracks on the snow surface, signs of recent snow transport and wind slabs.
  2. Stay below treeline: Wind-sheltered terrain below treeline often has more stable snow conditions.
  3. Monitor avalanche forecasts daily: Conditions can change rapidly, so staying informed with CAIC updates is crucial.

 

Colorado residents can support avalanche safety by purchasing a Colorado Outdoor Search and Rescue (COSAR) card, which funds search and rescue missions across the state. COSAR cards are available for purchase at https://cpw.state.co.us/backcountry-search-and-rescue-program.

Alex Derr, Founder of The Next Summit

Alex Derr is an Eagle Scout, climber, and environmental policy expert located in Denver, Colorado. He created The Next Summit to help others stay safe exploring the mountains and advocate to preserve the peaks for the future. Follow him on Linkedin or Twitter or click here to contact him.

Enjoy this Article? Subscribe to our Newsletter!

Join 4,000+ other subscribers and receive mountain news updates, route guides, gear reviews, and other articles in our twice-monthly email newsletter.

Leave a Reply

Welcome to The Next Summit!

Our mission is to protect public lands and peaks through PSAR & LNT outdoor education, policy advocacy, and collaboration with a network of community partners. Click here to learn more and support our ongoing campaigns. Thanks for visiting!

Hiker on the Four Pass Loop trail looking toward Pyramid Peak in Colorado's Elk Mountains

Never Hit the Trail Unprepared

Free weekly tips on routes, safety, and mountain news from The Next Summit.

No spam, unsubscribe anytime. Privacy policy

Hiker on the Mount Belford trail in Colorado's Sawatch Range with alpine wildflowers and mountain panorama

Summit Skills Academy

Ready to Build Real Mountain Skills?

Learn at your own pace with free and premium courses built for hikers and climbers at every level.

Climb Your First 14er Backcountry Navigation 101
Explore the Academy →

Smart Turnaround Decisions Save Lives

Free live webinar — Sept 30, 7:00 PM

  • Identify critical decision points on any climb
  • Set clear turnaround criteria before you leave the TH
  • Spot red flags: late starts, fatigue, deteriorating weather

🪨 Avoid Rockfall Injuries on 14ers – Free Webinar Aug 27

Snowmass Lake Altitude Sickness Rescue

Climb all of the Colorado 14ers with my Complete Planner

Become a subscriber to get the guide with all 58 peaks in the ideal order for climbing + tips, resources, and other critical details for each peak and route.

Snowmass Lake Altitude Sickness Rescue

Download the Complete Colorado 14ers Planner for Free!

Become a subscriber to get the guide with all 58 peaks in the ideal order for climbing + tips, resources, and other critical details for each peak and route.